POLICY LAB

EPA Power Plant Climate Rules Impact & Authority Workbench

Statutory Authority Context: Following EPA's determination that greenhouse gas limits across coal and natural gas fleets exceed Clean Air Act Section 111 statutory authority, this interactive workbench evaluates the multi-variable tension between statutory buffer, compliance lead time, stringency, and grid reliability.
Regulatory Parameter Inputs
Simulated
Presets:
75%
Required CO₂ capture rate / fleet retirement schedule under Section 111
40 pts
Alignment with Major Questions Doctrine & explicit Clean Air Act text
5 yrs
Allowed capital buildout timeline before plant non-attainment enforcement
82 / 100
Federal Circuit & SCOTUS emergency stay probability weight
Assessment exported successfully
Modeled Impact & Legal Vulnerability
Section 111 Model
Grid Reliability Index 91.4 Baseload capacity stability
Projected Compliance Cost $14.8B Annualized fleet retrofit expense
Rule Risk & Feasibility Decomposition Relative Weights
Statutory Doctrine Status Ultra Vires Risk Triggered
Estimated CCS Cost Burden $14.8 Billion
Reserve Margin Headroom 91.4% Capacity
Judicial Injunction Odds High (82% Baseline)
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