Interactive Field Diamond
Top 10th · 0 OutInning Score
+0
Outs
0
Runners On
2B
Yankees Win%
50.0%
Start (0/5)
Inning Setup · Top of the 10th
MLB Extra-Innings Rule: Automatic placed runner is stationed on second base with 0 outs. Visiting Yankees batting.
Leverage Analytics & WPA
MLB RE24 BaselineRun Expectancy (RE24)
1.100
Base state (Man on 2B, 0 Out)
Win Probability (Visiting)
50.0%
Even extra-inning split
Win Probability Trajectory (Anaheim 10th Inning)
Current: 50.0%
Defensive Strategy Counterfactuals
Test Alternate Managerial Choices
Observed Reality: The Yankees execute a sacrifice bunt to advance the placed runner, followed by an RBI single, walk, 2-run double, and a capstone 2-run home run—producing 5 total runs and pushing win probability from 50.0% to 99.4%.
Modern MLB Benchmark: Visiting Team Extra-Inning Win Rates
| Top 10th Runs Scored | Win Probability | Historic Frequency | Strategic Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Runs (Shutout) | 18.4% | 42.1% | Severe defensive deficit |
| 1 Run (Placed Runner) | 58.2% | 31.4% | Home walk-off danger |
| 2 Runs | 82.6% | 14.8% | Firm road control |
| 3 Runs | 94.1% | 7.2% | Near lock |
| ★ 5+ Runs (Yankees) | 99.4% | 1.3% | Series Victory Clinched |