Live Market

Extradition & Legal Event Probability Market Simulator

Source: @Polymarket
Event ID: dubai_extradition_executed
Dominant Outcome
In Irish Custody
Target: End of Week
Implied Probability
92.0%
▲ +67.0% from pre-news prior (25.0%)
Order Book Liquidity
$145,000
Active Bids & Asks Depth
Top Bid-Ask Spread
0.02
Tight consensus / 2.0¢ spread
News Event Scrubber & Signals
Quick Presets
News Impact Weight (Bayesian Likelihood) 0.85
Timeline Events Scrubber
Simulated Order Execution

Bayesian Implied Probability Curves (0-100%)

● Dublin Custody (92%) ● Trial 2026 (68%) ● Bail Granted (8%)
Bids (Buy Orders) Size ($ USD) / Price
Asks (Sell Orders) Price / Size ($ USD)
Enjoy this tool? Build your own with Super