Simulated Macroeconomic Feedback Quarterly Equilibrium Horizon
Policy Offset Balance (Rate vs Inflation)
Trade Volume at Risk by Partner ($B)
| Partner / Bloc | Annual Trade ($B) | Threat Level | Elasticity | Loss Est ($B) | Retaliation ($B) |
|---|
Status Quo Baseline Assessment
Moderate trade tension with the European Union and heightened threats toward China generate $342.5B in bilateral trade volume loss. A 4.75% Fed funds rate keeps the US Dollar resilient, but retaliatory tariffs generate an estimated $128.4B burden with a -0.78% annual GDP growth headwind.