GameStop M&A Pivot Probability & Deal Valuation Simulator

Prediction market decision tree and equity arbitrage model for $56B eBay vs Collectibles acquisition

Implied Target Price $26.85 vs $22.50 Base Price

Arbitrage Spread 19.33% Expected Upside Yield

Implied Expected Value $6.83 B Weighted Deal Value Add

Primary Driver Pivot to Trading Cards & Collectibles Consensus Market Pivot

M&A Decision Outcome Tree Live D3 Dynamic Branching

Scenario Matrix & Value Breakdown

Outcome Path	Implied Probability	Target Deal Value	Incremental Value Add	Outcome Share Price