German Natural Gas Price Surge & Volatility Workbench completed

Grounding: @spectatorindex reported Jan 1 ($30) → Current ($84) • Commodity Dynamics Model
Start Price (Jan 1)
$30
Base European TTF Index
Current Observed Price
$84
Observed: 2026-09-14
Absolute Price Surge
+$54.00
Total price inflation / MWh
Percentage Surge
180.0%
((84 - 30) / 30) * 100
Volatility Index
High (18.4%)
30-day annualized rolling var
Natural Gas Spot Trajectory (Jan 1 – Present)
Hover points to probe price
Simulation Shock Scenarios
Market Parameters
Mode: Grounded Baseline
German Gas Storage Fill: 64.5%
Monthly LNG Terminal Inflow: 42.1 BCM
Heating Degree Demand Variance: +0.0%
Factor Simulated Value Impact
Inventory Buffer 64.5% Elevated Risk
LNG Import Hedge 42.1 BCM Stable Flow
Price Multiplier 2.80x Extreme Surge
Durable Model Output Preview
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