Tenth Inning Diamond State
BOT 10 | 0 OUTS | TIE 3-3
Click diamond bases (1B, 2B, 3B) to toggle baserunners. Ghost runner starts on 2B.
Tactical Probability & Leverage
LI: 3.42 (EXTREME LEVERAGE)
Run Expectancy
1.12
Base MLB: 1.10
Win Probability
68.0%
+14.2% Delta
Walk-Off / 1+ R %
62.0%
Break-even: 50.0%
68.0% Win Expectancy
32.0% Opponent
Optimal Tactic: Swing Away (Away) vs Bunt (Home Tie)
Visiting teams maximize win expectancy by swinging away to target 2+ run innings, whereas home teams in tie games maximize walk-off win probability through sacrifice bunting to advance the automatic runner to 3B with 1 out.
Visiting teams maximize win expectancy by swinging away to target 2+ run innings, whereas home teams in tie games maximize walk-off win probability through sacrifice bunting to advance the automatic runner to 3B with 1 out.
Tenth Inning Expected Run Distribution
| Runs Scored | Outcome Prob | Resulting Inning WP | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Runs | 38.0% | 24.5% | |
| 1 Run | 34.0% | 100.0% | |
| 2+ Runs | 28.0% | 100.0% |
SF GIANTS VS MLB AUTOMATIC RUNNER ERA
2020–PRESENT
SF Extra-Inning Win %
55.8%
MLB League Average
50.0%
Bunt Advance Success
81.4%
Home Walk-Off Rate
54.2%