Greece Sovereign Climate Risk Stress-Tester

Fiscal v2.6
Regional Exposure Map Rhodes & Southern Aegean
Climate Shock Scenarios
4.2
18 days
€340M
12.5%
Total Budgetary Shock
€960M
Direct Outlays + Revenue Losses
Fiscal Revenue Loss
€620M
Tourism VAT & Agri Tax Shortfalls
Annual GDP Growth Drag
-1.45%
Macroeconomic Contraction
Sovereign Spread Shift
+24.5 bps
10Y Greek Govt Bond Yield Risk
5-Year Debt-to-GDP Trajectory
Fiscal Outlay & Revenue Breakdown
Sovereign Stress-Test Data Summary
Target Region Wildfire Index Heatwave Days Emergency Spend Revenue Loss Total Shock GDP Drag Spread Shift
Rhodes & Southern Aegean 4.2 18 days €340M €620M €960M -1.45% +24.5 bps

The fiscal model combines assigned stress terms with a special baseline fixture

Read the explanation

The source base revenue-loss expression multiplies tourism contraction by thirty-two. Illustrative inputs two point five and five give contributions eighty and one hundred sixty million euros before regional scaling and other terms. Bars share two pixels per million. These coefficients are model assumptions, not measured fiscal sensitivities. The implemented base expression multiplies heatwave days by ten, although the adjacent comment says eleven. Illustrative ten and twenty days therefore contribute one hundred and two hundred million euros. Bars share one point eight pixels per million. Wildfire also uses ten in the actual expression. The special matching baseline fixture overrides these generic calculations; neither branch is independently calibrated. Outside the special fixture branch, the source rounds emergency spending plus calculated revenue loss to obtain total budget shock. Illustrative loss two hundred and emergency spending seventy give two hundred seventy million euros. Bars share one point four pixels per million. This explains source accounting only, not sovereign-risk advice or current Greek fiscal conditions. Full native JSON/reset, chart buffers and four-width first-footer preservation remain checked.

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