Municipal Homelessness Policy Dynamics Simulator

Model: Multi-Compartment Dynamic Stock & Flow (Houston Benchmark)
Live 5-Year Population Flow Network Month 60 / Steady State
MUNICIPAL STRATEGY ARCHETYPES:
Houston Model Effect: Coordinated intake with rapid voucher matching and wraparound clinical support creates high throughput into permanent housing, reducing encampment sizes by 62.4% over 5 years.
5-YEAR SYSTEM DISPLACEMENT & DESTINATION BREAKDOWN
Destination / Status Pool Estimated Households 5-Yr Change System Load
Policy Levers & Resource Allocation Annual Base: $85.0M
30%
85%
12% / yr
78%
5-Year Municipal Telemetry Validated Causal Dynamics
Unsheltered Count
915
-62.4% (vs baseline)
5-Yr Net Exits
3,120
Permanent Housing
24-Mo Retention
88.2%
Target: >85%
ER/Jail Diversion
$18.6M
Annual Savings
Cost per Stable Exit
$27,240
Net Municipal Eff.
Primary Bottleneck
PSH Pipeline
Voucher Capacity
The Policy Dilemma: Sweeps displace unsheltered individuals without creating exits; emergency shelter expansion without permanent vouchers creates costly system gridlock; while coordinated housing-first delivers durable retention.
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