Middle East Crude Transit Topology
Persian Gulf • Hormuz • East-West Petroline • Bab-el-Mandeb
Status: Critical Bottleneck
Saudi Petroline Shutdown
100%
East-West bypass pipeline (5.0 mb/d nominal capacity)
Alternative Tanker Reroute
2.5 mb/d
Cape of Good Hope / Fujairah pipeline rerouting
Strategic Reserve Release
1.0 mb/d
IEA / SPR emergency coordinated inventory release
Baseline Brent Crude
$74.50
Pre-incident baseline market spot benchmark
Market Impact & Deficit Metrics
Calculated real-time commodity pricing response
Simulated Brent Price
$89.25
+19.8% (+$14.75)
Net Global Supply Deficit
2.5 mb/d
2.45% of World Demand
Chokepoint Status:
Critical Bottleneck
Net Supply Deficit:
2.5 mb/d
Spot Price Change:
19.8%
Simulated Brent Crude:
$89.25
Petroline Offline Flow:
5.00 mb/d
Mitigated Flow (Reroute+SPR):
3.50 mb/d
Operational Strategy
Activate Emergency Reserve Releases & Reroute Tankers