Labor Force Growth
+0.65%/yr
Baseline + Inflow aggregate
10-Yr GDP Impact
+0.8%
Cumulative real GDP delta
Low-Skill Wage Impact
-0.4%
Supply elasticity pressure
Net Fiscal Balance
+$14.2B
Annualized tax - transfer net
Labor Supply Trajectory (Millions)
Skill Tier Wage Trajectories (% Shift)
Equilibrium Analysis & Trajectory Summary
Under the selected annual cap of 500,000 migrants with 20% high-skill allocation, labor force expansion offsets baseline demographic aging. Low-skill wages experience mild compression (-0.4%), while high-skill output gains generate strong fiscal net returns (+$14.2B/year).
10-Year Macroeconomic Trajectory Ledger
| Year | Labor Force | Cumulative GDP Shift | High Skill Wage | Low Skill Wage | Net Fiscal Contribution |
|---|