Iowa Coalition Swing: Heartland Electoral Realignment Simulator

Statewide 99-County Cartography Hover or tap to inspect county

Projected Margin

R+8.2%

Net Shift vs Base

+0.0%

Dem Win Margin

44.6%

Competitive IA Seats

1 / 4

Dem +15%

Dem +5%

Tossup (±3%)

GOP +5%

GOP +15%+

Congressional District Vulnerability (IA-01 to IA-04)

Strategic Coalition Presets

County Archetype Swing Levers

Agricultural Heartland (58 Counties) +0.0%

-10% (GOP drift) 0% Baseline +25% (Pragmatic Swing)

Industrial Riverfront & Factory (22 Counties) +0.0%

-10% 0% Baseline +25% (Labor Surge)

Des Moines & Cedar Rapids Suburbs (14 Counties) +0.0%

-10% 0% Baseline +25% (Metro Maximizer)

University & Core Urban (5 Counties) +0.0%

-10% 0% Baseline +25% (Turnout Max)

Coalition Shift Waterfall (Net Dem Votes Added)

Select or hover over any of the 99 counties on the map to inspect its baseline turnout, demographic category, and simulated swing impact.