Maximum Pressure Dynamics: Sanctions & Escalation Model
Causal Policy Simulator: Diminishing Economic Returns vs. Nuclear Latency
State: Active Adaptation
Policy Lever Deck
2018 Max Pressure
Shadow Fleet Adaptation
Asymmetric Backfire
Calibrated Verification
Primary Oil Interdiction
85%
Secondary Banking Blacklist
80%
Third-Party Waiver Enforcement
10%
Maritime Interception Protocols
70%
Secondary Sanctions Strictness
75%
Pushing sanctions past the resilience frontier accelerates dark-fleet rerouting and induces severe enrichment escalation.
Causal Flow & Evasion Logistics Architecture
Interdiction Barrier:
High
Shadow Rerouting Efficiency:
71%
Counter-Escalation Index:
High
System Telemetry & Audit
Oil Leakage Rate
1.42 mbpd
Economic Impact
82 / 100
Diplomatic Leverage
-28.4%
Nuclear Breakout
18 days
Asymmetric Risk Level
High Risk
Equilibrium State
Diminishing Returns & Escalation Basin
Export JSON
Print Card
Enjoy this tool? Build your own with Super