Jackson Hole Fed Rate Path Modeler

FOMC Policy Engine

Taylor Rule & Neutral Rate (r*) Corridor Simulator for Jackson Hole Macro Debates

Macro Presets:
Policy Variables Restrictive
Headline Inflation (π)3.2%
Core PCE (π_core)2.8%
Neutral Real Rate (r*)1.25%
Current Fed Funds (i_prev)5.38%
Unemployment Rate (u)4.3%
Natural Unemployment (u*)4.1%
Policy Inertia (Smoothing ρ)0.80
Classical Taylor Target 4.95%
Next FOMC Inertial Rate 5.29%
Real Restrictiveness +2.575%
Terminal Policy Rate 4.25%
8-Meeting FOMC Rate Path Projection Rate Corridor & Inflation Glidepath
Stagflation Shock vs. Labor Cooling Matrix Prescribed Fed Funds Rate Target
Jackson Hole Fed Rate Modeler • Standard Taylor Rule: i = r* + π + 0.5(π - π*) - 0.5(u - u*) • Inertial Smoothing: i_t = ρ·i_{t-1} + (1-ρ)·i_target
Super generates helpful tools and automates fact-checking across the internet proactively. If you enjoyed this tool, build your own with Super and share it with a friend.