How base runner state at 7th Inning (2 Outs, Down 1-2) scales the Win Probability Impact:
| Hit Event | Score Change | New WE | WPA Impact |
|---|---|---|---|
| Solo HR | 2 - 2 (Tie) | 61.2% | +23.2% |
| 2-Run HR | 3 - 2 (SEA) | 74.5% | +36.5% |
| 3-Run HR (Julio) | 4 - 2 (SEA) | 84.0% | +46.0% |
| Flyout (Out) | 1 - 2 (Inning End) | 24.1% | -13.9% |