Legal Charge Prediction Market Impact & Resolution Odds Modeler

SCENARIO & PARAMS

Case Scenario Presets

Initial Prior Prob (P₀) 0.35

Evidentiary Strength Weight 0.78

Orderbook Liquidity Depth $250,000

PROCEDURAL MILESTONES

Market Verdict Strong Bullish Repricing on conviction

Updated Probability 0.682 +33.2% shift from prior

Orderbook Spread 0.020 Tight bid-ask corridor

Projected Volume (USD) $1,420,000 High news volatility

PROBABILITY TIMELINE (BAYES UPDATES) 0-180 Days

LIMIT ORDERBOOK DEPTH & SPREAD Bid/Ask Snapshot

MODEL PROOF & AUDIT CAPABILITYMIRROR:
Market Verdict: Strong Bullish repricing on conviction contract | Updated Prob: 0.682 | Spread: 0.020 | Vol: $1,420,000

Legal Charge Prediction Market Impact & Resolution Odds Modeler

Weapons Felony

Financial Fraud

Motion to Dismiss

Plea Bargain