El-Sayed (+10%+)
Dem Lean
Tossup (<2%)
GOP Lean
Rogers (+10%+)
⚡ Preset Coalition Scenarios
🎛️ Coalition & Turnout Modifiers
+5%
Models turnout in Detroit/Wayne County urban core.
+4.0%
Statewide progressive surge modifying Democratic base vote share.
-2.0%
Moderate suburban ticket-splitting / defection shift vs Rogers.
100%
Turnout multiplier across non-metro conservative rural counties.
📊 Regional County Blocs
| Region | Voters | El-Sayed (D) | Rogers (R) | Margin |
|---|