Michigan Senate Primary Coalition & Turnout Simulator

Electoral Analysis Model • Abdul El-Sayed vs. Haley Stevens

Scenario Presets

Coalition & Turnout Levers

Urban Turnout Multiplier (Wayne/Gen.) 1.00x

Suburban Swing (Oakland/Macomb) 0.0%

University & Youth Mobilization 1.00x

Outstate Progressive Shift 0.0%

Coalition Dynamics

El-Sayed wins by combining strong margins in Wayne (+18%) and Washtenaw (+32%) with competitive margins in Kent (+6%), while Stevens stays competitive through strength in Oakland (+8%) and Macomb (+5%).

County Lead Margin

Stevens +20%+ Tie El-Sayed +20%+

Key Battleground County Workbench

County-by-County Voting Breakdown

County	Category	El-Sayed Votes	Stevens Votes	Margin	Winner

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