Dem Contract Price
49.0¢
Implied Win: 49.0%
GOP Contract Price
51.0¢
Implied Win: 51.0%
Implied Swing Margin
+1.2% GOP
Projected Vote Lead
Market Volatility Index
High
Sensitivity Index: 1.42
Probability Sensitivity Curve
Contract Price Delta vs Turnout
Order Book Depth & Bids/Asks
Liquidity ($)
Primary-To-General Conversion Analytics
MI Senate Electoral Model Matrix
| Voter Coalition / Signal | Base Share | Modeled Retention | Turnout Impact | Net Margin Shift |
|---|
48.999999999999999
0.51000000000000001
1.2
High