Crisis Simulation Controls
REAL-TIME TRANSMISSION
$102.50
8.5%
12 days
30 mbbl
Historical & Crisis Presets
Dataset generated & downloaded.
scenario.json
Downstream Macroeconomic Propagation Matrix
INDEX BASELINE: $75/BBL CRUDE
Projected Retail Gasoline
$3.85 / gal
+16.7% vs baseline pump price
Maritime Freight Surcharge
+18.4%
Cape of Good Hope rerouting bunker tax
Airline Fuel Burden (Global)
+$4.2B
Quarterly operating cost escalation
Headline CPI Annualized Pressure
+45 bps
Immediate pass-through to headline basket
Historical Energy Shock Reference Table
| Shock Event | Crude Peak | Retail Gas | CPI Impact |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Simulation (AP Wave) | $102.50 | $3.85/gal | +45 bps |
| 2022 Ukraine Invasion Shock | $123.70 | $5.01/gal | +115 bps |
| 2011 Arab Spring Disruptions | $113.40 | $3.96/gal | +65 bps |
| 2008 Commodity Supercycle | $147.27 | $4.11/gal | +140 bps |