Policy Commitment Levers
Money Printing Ban
100%
Legal/constitutional block on central bank monetization of deficits.
Foreign Reserve Floor
$15B
Minimum reserve buffer mandated to be held unencumbered.
Sovereign Debt Cap
60% GDP
Statutory limit on public debt accumulation.
Currency Peg / Anchor Rigidity
80%
Fixity of foreign exchange crawling peg / dollar convertibility.
Macroeconomic Shocks
36-Month Macroeconomic Trajectory
Inflation Rate (%)
Reserves ($B)
Credibility Index
GDP Growth (%)
Timeline Scrubber: Month 36
Macro Analysis: Tight legal monetary bans effectively anchor inflation expectations down to single digits. However, when external terms-of-trade shocks hit (Month 6 Agri Crash), the rigid peg forces adjustment through real output loss and central bank reserve depletion.
Telemetry & Trade-offs
Inflation Rate
12.4%
CB Credibility
88 / 100
CB Reserves
$14.2B
GDP Growth
-1.8%
Odysseus Constraint Status
Hyperinflation Risk:
LOW (Anchored)
Liquidity Crunch Risk:
ELEVATED
Debt Sustainability:
STABLE
Scenario Comparison
| Scenario | Inflation | GDP Loss |
|---|