NFL Drive EPA & Situational Decision Workbench

Down

Distance (Yards)

Ball On (1-99)

Quarter

Clock (Min:Sec)

Score Margin (Offense)

Timeouts (Off / Def)

Ball on Opponent 38 • 4th & 2 Click or drag on the field to reposition Line of Scrimmage

▮ Blue Line: Line of Scrimmage ▮ Yellow Line: Line to Gain (1st Down) ▮ Red Line: Field Goal Attempt Spot (55 Yd FG) ▮ Green Shading: Opponent Red Zone

4th-Down Tactical Leverage Engine nflfastR / Baldwin EP Model

GO FOR IT P(Conv): 64.8%

+1.58 EPA

Gain 2 yds to retain drive at Opp 36. Win Prob: 54.2%

FIELD GOAL 55 Yd Kick

+0.40 EPA

Make Prob: 39.5%. Miss yields opp 1st down at Opp 45. Win Prob: 49.6%

PUNT Net ~25 yds

-0.85 EPA

Pin opp inside 20. Surrender possession. Win Prob: 45.1%

Break-Even Conversion Sensitivity vs Field Goal / Punt

Offensive Drive Sequence Architect

Plays

Total Yards

Drive EPA

+0.00

Success Rate

100%

Append Play to Drive Sequence:

#StatePlay NarrativeEPA