Logistics Transit Topology
STS Active: 1.4 mbpd
Effective Supply
4.80mbpd
Supply Deficit
0.40mbpd
Transit Delay
3.20days
Modeled Crude Price
$72.90/bbl
Price Extension
-2.15%
Simulation Parameters
Real-time sensitivity
Base Pipeline Capacity (East-West Line)
5.2 mbpd
Damaged Pipeline Capacity Loss
1.8 mbpd
Ship-to-Ship (STS) Transfer Rate
1.4 mbpd
Marine Congestion Index (Tanker Queuing)
0.65
Baseline Benchmark Crude Price
$74.50
Market Context: Saudi Arabia's emergency deployment of offshore STS transfers recovers 1.4 mbpd of the 1.8 mbpd pipeline loss. While marine friction adds 3.2 days in delay, the avoidance of acute physical shortages causes crude to extend price losses to $72.90 (-2.15%).
effective_supply_mbpd
4.8
net_supply_deficit_mbpd
0.4
transit_delay_days
3.2
modeled_oil_price
72.9
price_extension_percentage
-2.15