BAL

Orioles Extra-Inning Win Probability & Ghost Runner Lab

Grounding: @MLB Baltimore Orioles Series-Opening Extra-Inning Win
Camden Yards Diamond & Situational State Ghost Runner on 2nd (MLB Rule 7.08)
Inning Top 10th
Outs 0 Outs
Score (Diff) Tied (0)
Base State Runner on 2nd
1B 2B (Ghost) 3B
Matchup Parameters
Tactical Payoffs & Win Probability Swing OPTIMAL: SAC BUNT
Run Expectancy (RE)
1.14
Score 1+ Run %
62.0%
Orioles Win %
58.4%
Situational Leverage Index (LI) 2.85 (High Leverage)
Inning Run Distribution Probability 0, 1, 2, 3+ Runs
Tactical Strategy Comparison Matrix
Tactic Success % Exp Runs Win Prob % Tactical Note
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