Prediction Market Probability & Arbitrage Engine

POLARIS QUANT TERMINAL v2.4 • SLUG: prediction-market-odds-36

GameStop / eBay Acquisition: YES 11.0% / NO 89.0%
MARKET CONTROLLER LMSR / CPMM BONDING
Implied Probability 0.11
Avg Execution Price 0.1175
Price Impact (Slippage) 13.18%
Shares Acquired 8511.42
Max Payout ($1/sh) $8,511.42
Net Profit (If Win) $7,511.42
SYNTHETIC PARITY EQUILIBRIUM

YES ($0.11) + NO ($0.89) = $1.0000. No risk-free arbitrage detected.

BINARY OPTION PAYOFF & EXPECTED VALUE (EV) CURVE P&L DIAGRAM
LIMIT ORDER BOOK DEPTH & BONDING SPREAD SYNTHETIC DEPTH

BUY ORDERS (BIDS)

Price ($)Size (Shares)Total ($)

SELL ORDERS (ASKS)

Price ($)Size (Shares)Total ($)
Time Side Amount Avg Price Shares Impact
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