BOS
VS
NYY
Red Sox vs. Yankees Rivalry Matchup & Ballpark Matrix
Spatial Trajectory Simulator • RE24 Run Expectancy • Green Monster vs. Short Porch Geometry
Representative: Bello vs. Cole (Inning 7)
2004 ALCS G4: Roberts 9th Inning Stolen Base
2018 ALDS G4: Kimbrel 9th Inning Standoff
Short Porch Hunt: Judge / Soto RHP Splitting
Monster Ball: Devers Flyball Pull Trap
Export PNG Card
JSON
Dual-Park Spatial Spray Chart
Fenway Park (BOS)
Yankee Stadium (NYY)
Dual Overlay
Fenway Monster (310ft / 37ft H)
Short Porch (314ft)
CF 408'
HR
Exit Velocity
99.4 mph
Launch Angle
28°
Spray Direction
Pull Right (+24°)
Fenway Park (Boston)
Flyout (Off Wall Double / 380ft Alley)
Deep right-center pocket prevents home run. Monster double suppression:
-18.2%
.
Yankee Stadium (New York)
HOME RUN (358 ft)
Exploits 314ft Short Porch right-field overhang. HR Boost:
+24.5%
.
Live Leverage & Run Expectancy
Top 7th • 1 Out
2B
3B
1B
HP
Inning
1st
3rd
5th
7th
8th
9th
Outs
0 Outs
1 Out
2 Outs
BOS - NYY
BOS down 2 (2-4)
BOS down 1 (3-4)
Tied (3-3)
BOS up 1 (4-3)
BOS up 2 (5-3)
Leverage Index
2.14
High Leverage
Run Expectancy
0.89
Δ Base State Runs
Expected BA
.610
Statcast xBA
Barrel Prob
78%
Hard-Hit Profile
Red Sox
58.2%
41.8%
Yankees
B. Bello Archetype (BOS)
Sinker/Changeup •
54.8% GB%
• 21.8% K%
Forces groundballs away from Short Porch
G. Cole Archetype (NYY)
4-Seam/Slider •
28.5% K%
• 41.2% GB%
High spin induces Fenway Monster pull popups
Late-inning leverage favors high groundball rate to neutralize short right-field porch; switch hitters gain 14% barrel probability.
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