East African Community (EAC) & Horn of Africa Energy Syndicate Modeling Platform Refinery Logistics • Semafor Intel

Dangote East Africa Refinery Syndicate: Equity, Logistics & Product Flow Visualizer

A high-fidelity policy and commodity trade workbench modeling Dangote Group's proposed 30% sovereign syndicate for a 250,000 bpd northern Kenya refinery hub, regional feedstock logistics, product off-take, and FX retention.

Total Refinery Project CapEx
$7.50 B
60% Debt ($4.50B) / 40% Equity ($3.00B)
Sovereign Syndicate Stake (30%)
$900 M
Allocated: 30.0% / 30.0%
Regional Annual FX Savings
$4.28 B/yr
Displaces 68.4% of EAC refined imports
Gross Refining Margin (GRM)
$11.40 /bbl
Annual EBITDA: $938.8 M

Northern Kenya Hub Logistics & Arterial Product Flows

250k bpd Nameplate • Isiolo/Turkana Hub
Corridor Status: Optimal Flow • 250,000 bpd active
Lake Victoria Indian Ocean SOUTH SUDAN UGANDA KENYA RWANDA TANZANIA Lokichar Basin 75k bpd (Sweet) Nile Blend (S. Sudan) Enjoy this tool? Build your own with Super