Main Street Capital Freeze & Cash Runway Stress Model

Simulating $289M Appropriated Federal Loan Freeze vs. 11.5%+ Commercial Bridge Debt
Sector Presets:
Operating & Shock Parameters
Federal Loan: WITHHELD / FROZEN
Toggle to disburse federal facility
$85,000
$48,000
$24,000
$45,000
Compounding Shocks
12%
6%
$150,000
11.5%
Solvency & Cash Flow Assessment
Baseline Cash Flow
$13,000/mo
Pre-shock operating net
Stressed Net Cash Flow
$4,360/mo
66.5% compression
Debt Service Penalty
+$550.82/mo
$28,652 5-yr cost
Estimated Cash Runway
> 36 Mos
Solvent under flow
24-Month Liquid Cash Balance Trajectory ($) — Federal Facility (4.25%)   — Commercial Bridge (11.5%)   -- Frozen (No Loan)
Capital Structure & Debt Service Divergence
Financing Pathway Rate / Term Monthly Payment Total 84-Mo Interest 5-Yr Excess Cost
Federal Main Street (Subsidized) 4.25% (84 mos) $2,067.50 $23,670.00 $0 (Baseline)
Commercial Bridge Facility 11.50% (84 mos) $2,618.32 $69,938.88 +$28,652.40
Withheld Capital (Zero Facility) N/A $0.00 $0.00 Liquidity constrained
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