Policy Scenarios & Scopes
Universal Tariff Rate
50%
Sector Bilateral Shock Matrix
Targeted Import Volume
$70.10B
Post-Tariff Trade Volume
$41.50B
-40.79% volume drop
Annual Duty Revenue
$20.75B
US Treasury collection
US Buyer Cost Hike
$15.41B
Consumer & industrial pass-through
Canadian Exporter Loss
$33.94B
Volume drop + price cut
Domestic Substitution
$11.85B
Rerouted to US producers
Bilateral Sector Shock Dynamics (D3.js)
Baseline vs Post-Tariff vs Losses
Sectoral Economic Impact Breakdown
| Sector | Baseline | Post Volume | Pass-Through | Duty Collected | Buyer Hike | Canada Loss | Substitution |
|---|
Dataset ready for empirical analysis • US-Canada Cross-Border Trade Shock Model