U.S. Fiscal Policy Research Monitor

U.S. $40T Debt Horizon & Trajectory Workbench

Reported by @FoxNews: Gross debt surpassed $40T landmark
Gross National Debt
$40,000,000,000,000
Pacing: +$78,400 / sec
Debt-to-GDP Ratio
135.6%
Nominal GDP: $29.50 Trillion
Liability Per Taxpayer
$242,424
Based on ~165M Taxpayers
Net Annual Interest Outlay
$1.68 Trillion
Exceeds total defense spending ($895B)

Gross Debt Projection Path

D3.js dynamic projection modeling compounding debt service vs growth
Baseline Path
Adjusted Policy Scenario
$50 Trillion Reached: 2031
Terminal Debt-to-GDP: 172.4%
Cumulative Debt Added: +$28.4 Trillion

Federal Discretionary Crowding-Out Metric (Year 10 Comparison)

Net interest payments directly competing against annual defense & non-defense discretionary appropriations.

Net Interest Outlays vs Discretionary Buckets Interest represents 52% of combined discretionary scope
Net Interest: $2.1T Defense Base: $1.1T Non-Defense Domestic: $0.8T

Year-by-Year Fiscal Forecast Engine

Year Gross Debt ($T) Nominal GDP ($T) Debt/GDP Net Interest ($T) Primary Deficit ($T) Total Annual Added ($T)
Enjoy this tool? Build your own with Super