Scenario Policy Controls
0%
Authorized under US Senate draft energy sanction bill (0% to 100%).
1.65M bpd
India's daily Russian crude imports (Million Barrels / Day).
$12.50 / bbl
Benchmark discount vs Brent crude generating Indian refiner savings.
Model Dynamics: Sector price elasticities govern trade contraction when tariffs increase. Crude discounts provide a direct offset to energy import costs.
Global Energy & Bilateral Trade Network
FLOW RATE: ACTIVE
Russian Crude Flow
India -> US Goods Exports
Sector Risk Matrix & Impact
| Sector | Base Exports | Elasticity | Projected Export | Duty Burden | Risk level |
|---|
Sector Elasticity Analysis
IT & Digital Services: Highly inelastic (0.30) due to deep institutional tech stack integrations.
Textiles & Apparel: Highly elastic (0.85) with easy substitution to Southeast Asian manufacturing hubs.
PROVED STATE: baseline_export=$85.40B | duty=$0.00B | crude=1.65Mbpd | status=PASS