Bloomberg Labor Friction Briefing

White-Collar Career Lock-In & 'The Big Stay' Simulator

Quantifying exit velocity, job opening drought, search half-life, and runway burn

BLS JOLTS & Liquidity Model: Q3 Calibrated
Presets & Personas Click to simulate
Individual Parameters
Strategic Action Assessment
Calculated Stay with Selective Stealth Hunt
Your current runway is shorter than the friction-adjusted search half-life. An unprompted resignation exposes you to burn exhaustion before a commensurate offer clears.
Search Friction Index
78.4
0 = frictionless, 100 = total lock-in
Projected Search Time
8.4 mo
Funnel conversion expected duration
Runway Deficit Risk
Moderate Risk
search exceeds runway by 1.4 months
Break-Even Switch Payoff
22 mo
Tenure required to recoup switch risk
Application-to-Offer Funnel Dynamics Yield: ~0.4% conversion
Apps 240
Screens 18
Finals 4
Offers 1.0
Tenure Inaction Cost vs. Unemployed Leap Burn Net Capital Exposure
Solid Line: Cash balance during search Dashed Line: Capital with wage stagnation Exhaustion: Month 7.0

Export Decision Audit Report

Download structured scenario metrics and negotiation defense dossier.