RED SOX #52

Wilyer Abreu Early Scoring Statcast Explorer

Fenway Park Spray Chart & Early Inning Leverage Engine
SCENARIO PRESETS:
Statcast 3D Trajectory Home Run (Right Field)
Fenway Landmarks: Green Monster (310' / 37ft H) • Triangle (420') • Bullpens (380') • Pesky's Pole (302')
Projected Distance
388 ft
Apex: 88 ft
Trajectory Outcome
Fair Ball - Home Run
Right Field Bullpen / Bleachers
Early Spark Index
94/100
+14.2% Win Prob Added
RE24 Run Expectancy
+1.28 runs
xBA: .910 | Hard Hit

Statcast Physics & Fenway Wall Clearance

Target Wall Distance 375 ft (RF Bullpen Wall)
Ball Height at Fence +21.4 ft (Clearance)
Hang Time / Flight Time 4.82 seconds
Exit Velocity / Angle 104.2 mph @ 26°
Park Factor HR Odds 30/30 MLB Ballparks

Early-Inning Leverage & Boston Context

Red Sox Win Prob (Before Hit) 52.8%
Red Sox Win Prob (After Score) 67.0%
Early Inning Leverage Index (LI) 1.42 (High Early Spike)
Boston Scoring First Win % 71.4% (2024-2026 Record)
Abreu Early Inning OPS .894 (1st-2nd Inning Splits)

Scouting Session Log (1 Generated Hits)

Batter / Inning EV / LA Spray Dir Distance Fenway Landing Zone Result RE24 WPA
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