Market Dynamics & Implied Depth
Bids (Buy)
Asks (Sell)
Probability Curve
Order Book Depth (Bolsonaro/Gaspar Contract)
Implied Probability Shift Tracking
VP Ticket Political Catalysts
Flavio Bolsonaro selecting conservative Congressman Alfredo Gaspar alters underlying electoral coalitions. Toggle catalysts or adjust liquidity depth to update implied prices.
Consolidates security bench (+4.0¢ Bolsonaro)
Gaspar regional boost in Alagoas/NE (+3.0¢ Bolsonaro)
Religious conservative alignment (+2.0¢ Bolsonaro)
Trade Execution Simulator
Portfolio & Slippage Telemetry
Execution Price
42.0¢
Slippage Impact
0.42%
Shares Acquired
Max Potential Payout
$1,190.50
Market Diagnostic Summary
Polymarket Simulation Scenario Analysis
Primary Ticket Implied Probability
42.0%
Total Catalysts Active
2 / 3
Liquidity Depth Rating
1.0x (Standard)
Simulated Position Value
$500.00
Outcome: Law & Order + Northeast triggers active. Flavio Bolsonaro / Alfredo Gaspar implied probability shifted to 42.0% with stable liquidity depth.