Prediction Market Odds & Payoff Simulator Polymarket Engine

Market Parameters Live Config
Expected Return & Kelly Metrics Canonical Proof State: Validated
Implied Odds 86.0%
Total Cost $86.00
Max Payout $100.00
EV / Share $0.04
Expected ROI 4.65%
Optimal Kelly Fraction 28.57%
Expected Payoff vs Estimated Probability D3 Dynamic Curve
Monte Carlo Election Outcome Simulator (1,000 Trials)
Simulated Wins 898 / 1000
Mean Portfolio Payout $89.80
5th Percentile (VaR) $0.00
Simulated ROI +4.42%
Super generates helpful tools and automates fact-checking across the internet proactively. If you enjoyed this tool, build your own with Super and share it with a friend.