Electoral Exclusion & Prediction Odds Simulator

D'Hondt PR Engine
Scenario Controls
5.0%
35.0%
Registered Parties & Status
Excluded Share Reallocation
25.0%
40.0%
450-Seat Parliamentary Hemisphere Allocation Live Seat Arc
Seat Share Summary & Disqualification Impact
Prediction Market Odds Shock
Majority Probability 94.5%
Probability Shift +21.5%
Ruling Party Seats 251 / 450
Supermajority Risk HIGH (55.8%)
Probability Shift Curve
Canonical Proof Metrics: Incumbent Seats: 251 Independents Seats: 86 Systemic Opp Seats: 113 Effective Incumbent Share: 55.8% Implied Majority Odds: 0.945 Pre/Post Odds Delta: 0.215
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