Fed Dot Plot Rate Path Explorer WIRE: @DeItaone

Simulating 2026 4.10% Terminal Peak & 2027 Dot Plot Pivot

SOURCE TELEMETRY LIVE FEED

"*Walter Bloomberg: FED DOT PLOT COULD SIGNAL ANOTHER 2026 HIKE. Rates ending 2026 near 4.1%, implying another hike after today's 25bp increase... 2027 cuts expected."

4.10%
3.50% Median 4.10% 5.00%
+25 bp
Hold (0bp) Standard (+25bp) Double (+50bp)
-75 bp
0 bp (Higher For Longer) -75 bp -150 bp
1.0x (Neutral)
Terminal 2026 Rate
4.10%
Walter Bloomberg baseline
Projected 2027 Rate
3.35%
Post-easing trajectory
Implied 2026 Hikes
1
Additional after today
Market Implied Prob
68.4%
Futures pricing weight
Monetary Policy Regime
Hawkish Hold to Easing Pivot

FOMC Participant Dot Dispersion & Path Trajectory

19 Federal Reserve policymaker projections across forecast horizons

Median Curve Member Dots
Today's Move (2026 H1) +25 bp

Pushes policy rate from 3.85% to 4.10% effectively pricing in front-loaded anti-inflation measures.

2026 Year-End Terminal 4.10% Peak

Reflects Bloomberg wire expectations showing dot plot cluster holding steady at peak restriction before 2027.

2027 Easing Corridor 3.35% (3 cuts)

Models eventual monetary loosening once PCE indicators drift towards the Federal Reserve 2.0% target band.

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