Simulation Year:
2050
Population Age Pyramid
Male vs Female
Total Fertility Rate (TFR) Trajectory
Replacement TFR: 2.1
Projected Outcome Analysis (2050)
Projected TFR (2050)
0.78
Births per woman
Total Population
38.2M
Base 2000: 47.0M
Elderly Dependency
78.4%
Ages 65+ per 100 working
Effective Fiscal ROI
-64.2%
Net economic yield
Structural Policy Verdict
Low Structural Elasticity: Cash transfers without work-culture & housing reform produce marginal fertility gains due to extreme competitive stress and high housing overhead.