Cash Runway (Survival) 16.4 mo Through Month 16
Funding Captured $2.30M Reserve + Cleared Tranches
Publisher Shortfall $2.10M Unpaid cancelled tranches
Survival Outcome Early Access Reachable With 40% descope pivot

Studio Net Liquidity & Milestone Trajectory (24-Month Horizon)

Available Treasury
Publisher Discontinuation
Zero-Cash Threshold

Publisher Milestone Payout Gate Table

Click any row or slider to inspect shock impact
Phase / Milestone Target Month Tranche ($k) Deliverable Criteria Status Under Shock Cumulative Received
Production simulation loaded. Adjust parameters to stress test your studio.
Why Spiritual Successors & Crowdfunded Games Face Sudden Publisher Discontinuation Expand analysis & contracts →

The Double-Funding Trap

Projects like Armed Fantasia (Wild Arms successor) and Penny Blood launched dual Kickstarter campaigns to prove market viability, then signed co-publishing deals. If the publisher restructures or decides a turn-based JRPG lacks commercial headroom, they can pull remaining tranche commitments at designated milestone cure windows.

Milestone Approval Asymmetry

Publisher contracts routinely specify subjective approval standards ("satisfactory to publisher in its sole discretion"). If pre-alpha feedback diverges or market sentiment cools, publishers leverage standard 30-to-60 day cure notices to exit without paying remaining production tranches.

The Survival Descope Protocol

When external funding evaporates, studios must instantly calculate whether their crowdfunding reserve supports a scoped-down Steam Early Access release, a spine-only demo to shop to other publishers, or an orderly backer disclosure before insolvency strikes.

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