Oil Transit & Pipeline Bypass Flow Analyzer

Analyze maritime chokepoints and overland bypass economics inspired by Saudi Arabia's East-West Petroline pipeline restart.

Preset:

Infrastructure Controls Status: Operational

East-West Petroline State Restarted (Active)

Flow Through Petroline

Overland link: Abqaiq (Gulf) to Yanbu Port (Red Sea).

Pipeline Throughput 4.8 mbpd Nameplate Petroline design capacity: 5.0 mbpd (expandable to 7.0).

Maritime Risk & Freight

Strait of Hormuz Risk Surcharge +0.75 $/bbl

Bab el-Mandeb / Red Sea War Risk +1.20 $/bbl

VLCC Daily Charter Rate $45,000 / day

Primary Destination Market

PETROLINE BYPASS ACTIVE: 4.8 mbpd

Hormuz: OPEN (MODERATE)

Overland Pipeline (Petroline)

Maritime Tanker Route

Strategic Chokepoint

Hormuz Bypass Rate 4.8 mbpd ▲ 24% of Gulf Flow

Yanbu Voyage Savings 5.4 Days - 2,680 NM saved

Delivered Cost / Barrel $3.12 / bbl -$0.85 vs Maritime

Supply Risk Index 34 / 100 Low-Moderate

Route Channel	Distance (NM)	Transit Time	Charter + Bunker	Risk Premium	Total Freight / bbl

About the Saudi East-West Petroline

The 1,200 km (746-mile) twin 48/56-inch pipeline system connects the primary Abqaiq and Ghawar production complexes on the Persian Gulf to the port of Yanbu on the Red Sea.

Operating this pipeline allows Saudi Aramco to bypass the strategic Strait of Hormuz entirely for crude bound for Europe and North America via the Suez Canal or SUMED pipeline, dramatically insulating supply chains during regional conflicts.

Key Chokepoints Analyzed

Strait of Hormuz: Transits ~20.5 million barrels/day (~20% of global petroleum consumption).
Bab el-Mandeb: Strategic gate between the Gulf of Aden and Red Sea (~8.8 mbpd total crude and petroleum products).
Suez Canal & SUMED: Northern Red Sea corridor to the Mediterranean and Atlantic basins.
Cape of Good Hope: Alternative deepwater route adding 10-14 days and 4,000+ nautical miles.