Presets & Config
Target Candidate Contract
Order Parameters
Order Size (USD)
$100
Target Contract Action
Subjective Win Prob (Hong)
9.0%
Dynamic Risk Neutral Arbitrage
Hedge remaining field shares to secure minimum payout:
Shares Bought
Binary $1 Contracts
Effective Entry Cost
$0.0920
Slippage: +2.22%
Winning Payout
$1,000.00
Net Profit: +$908.00
Net ROI if Win
+986.96%
Max Risk: -$92.00
Expected Value (EV)
-$2.00
Breakeven: 9.20%
Orderbook Liquidity & Effective Price Slippage Curve
Depth-weighted Order fill
Multi-Candidate Outcome Payoff Matrix
Payout: $1.00 for Winner, $0.00 for Others
| Candidate Outcome | Implied Odds | Holdings | Winning Payout | Net Outcome (Profit/Loss) | ROI % |
|---|