Saudi Aramco Pipeline & Capacity Restoration Planner

Model Scenario Deck Bloomberg Report

Quick Scenario Presets

Pipeline Half-Capacity (50%) 3 Days

Target days to return key pipeline to 6.0 mbpd

Full Capacity Horizon 6 Weeks

Weeks to fully restore 12.0 mbpd global capacity

Baseline Aramco Capacity 12.0 mbpd

Initial Incident Drop 80% Deficit

Source Verification:
*Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone): "Saudi Aramco is reportedly targeting a full return to capacity in around six weeks."
"Saudis seek to resume half of key oil pipeline within days."

Day 3 Throughput

6.0 mbpd

50% Pipeline Target Achieved

Week 6 Throughput

12.0 mbpd

Full 100% Aramco Baseline Restored

Total Cumulative Deficit

218.4 M bbls

Cumulative crude supply offline

Market Recovery Status

On Track for 6-Week Full Recovery

Supply normalized in 42 days

Throughput Ramp & Supply Deficit Curve Horizon: 42 Days (6 Weeks)

Repair Phase Milestones

Phase 1: Immediate Triage

Incident Shock

Day 0: 2.4 mbpd throughput (80% cut)

Phase 2: Fast Pipeline Bypass

50% Pipeline Resumption

Day 3: 6.0 mbpd restored

Phase 3: Deep Facility Repairs

100% Full Capacity

Day 42: 12.0 mbpd restored